We can't explain the universe, just describe it; and we don't know whether our theories are true, we just know they're not wrong. >Harald Lesch
Quote from Doktor Shotgun
A little analysis:
MAFIA - They've invaded the town, and they each kill someone every night. They may or may not know the identity of other mafia, thus they may not all be on the same side.
Each mafia group may collectively use the following abilities once per night:
Each mafia group suggests that there are multiple groups. It also suggests that the groups know their own members.
Therefore, the 5-mafia premise seems invalid.
I'm assuming a lot of things here, but I'm guessing there are six Mafia. (Two groups of three).
Either way, I think Nude or someone who's more pwnage than I am should post combination lists for 4 mafia and six mafia.
Multiple groups wouldn't work for under four and more than six is excessive.
Also, the first night's kills will be only Mafia kills (no Saint).
Therefore, the probability is that the first nights kills will consist mainly or entirely of town-aligned roles, as the Mafia have no clue as to the identity of the opposing side.
That's pretty much the way I see it. I already tried these (4,5 and 6 Mafias) combinations and posted the number of different mafia combinations possible (24, 84 and 265). Imo those are not particularly useful (especially the 265 combos) so I spared you the result. But if you want, here's the result for 4 members:
#1
Hynk, Doktor Shotgun, JaFF, Crimson Magnum, Loveless
#2
Hynk, Loveless, A_of-s_t, Crimson Magnum, Loveless
#3
Hynk, A_of-s_t, Killer_Kow, Doodle77, Loveless
#4
Hynk, A_of-s_t, DT_Battlekruser, Dapperdan, Loveless
#5
Hynk, JaFF, Dapperdan, Vi3t-X, Loveless
#6
Doktor Shotgun, ihjel, A_of-s_t, cheeze, Loveless
#7
Doktor Shotgun, JordanN, Killer_Kow, Doodan, Loveless
#8
Doktor Shotgun, A_of-s_t, JaFF, Greo, Loveless
#9
ihjel, FatalException, Doodle77, isolatedpurity, Loveless
#10
ihjel, Dark_Marine_123, JaFF, WoAHorde, Loveless
#11
ihjel, Zycorax, Dapperdan, Doodle77, Loveless
#12
NerdyTerdy, FatalException, DT_Battlekruser, cheeze, Loveless
#13
NerdyTerdy, JordanN, Darkling, Heegu, Loveless
#14
NerdyTerdy, Dark_Marine_123, Loveless, isolatedpurity, Loveless
#15
NerdyTerdy, WoAHorde, Zycorax, Paravin, Loveless
#16
FatalException, Dark_Marine_123, EzDay281, isolatedpurity, Loveless
#17
FatalException, A_of-s_t, Darkling, cheeze, Loveless
#18
JordanN, Doodan, Paravin, Vi3t-X, Loveless
#19
Dark_Marine_123, EzDay281, Zycorax, Dapperdan, Loveless
#20
Killer_Kow, cheeze, Zycorax, Greo, Loveless
#21
Darkling, Crimson Magnum, Doodle77, Greo, Loveless
#22
Darkling, EzDay281, Zycorax, l)ark_ssj9kevin, Loveless
#23
Heegu, l)ark_ssj9kevin, Doodan, Vi3t-X, Loveless
#24
EzDay281, l)ark_ssj9kevin, Doodan, Doodle77, Loveless
% Mafia probability:
NudeRaider = 0%
Hynk = 20,833%
Doktor Shotgun = 16,667%
ihjel = 16,667%
NerdyTerdy = 16,667%
chui = 0%
FatalException = 16,667%
JordanN = 12,500%
Dark_Marine_123 = 16,667%
Loveless = 8,333%
A_of-s_t = 25,000%
Killer_Kow = 12,500%
Darkling = 16,667%
lil-Inferno = 0%
JaFF = 16,667%
DT_Battlekruser = 8,333%
Crimson Magnum = 12,500%
Heegu = 8,333%
cheeze = 16,667%
EzDay281 = 16,667%
WoAHorde = 8,333%
Zycorax = 20,833%
l)ark_ssj9kevin = 12,500%
Doodan = 16,667%
Dapperdan = 16,667%
Doodle77 = 20,833%
Paravin = 8,333%
isolatedpurity = 12,500%
Vi3t-X = 12,500%
Greo = 12,500%
If you need it I will PM you all combos for 6 members too.