Staredit Network > Forums > Null > Topic: SEN Mafia #2: MOAR
SEN Mafia #2: MOAR
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Oct 22 2007, 10:53 pm
By: Moose
Pages: < 1 л 14 15 16 17 1843 >
 

Oct 29 2007, 1:54 am DT_Battlekruser Post #301



Quote
... what makes you think that? There's no real concrete evidence against me, just Dapperdan's theory that we should eliminate random people hoping one of them is mafia..

Well, there's your increasing desperation to try to swing the vote onto Dan..

Quote
I was thinking the exact same thing, actually. He even said earlier he doesn't think I'm mafia but now seems to have no care if I die.

I don't think you're mafia, per se, but I don't really care if you die. Like Ezday said, the more dead people, the more obvious who is mafia. Besides if we get three bandwagons together, we can see who is on which one.

Quote
But wanting to lynch that many people purely randomly is still pretty bad odds. You still have 65% chance of getting only townies (I think).

It narrows the field of unknowns.




None.

Oct 29 2007, 1:54 am Money Post #302



38/44 (you aren't going to lynch yourself.)
86.363636363636363636363636363636% of it not being mafia.



None.

Oct 29 2007, 1:56 am DT_Battlekruser Post #303



The more dead mafia, the fewer townies die; the more dead townies, the better the odds. Lynching ftw!



None.

Oct 29 2007, 2:06 am NudeRaider Post #304

We can't explain the universe, just describe it; and we don't know whether our theories are true, we just know they're not wrong. >Harald Lesch

Sorry for me playing the smarty-pants... but look at the numbers:

45 total players, 6 of it mafia.
break it down to 6/6 mafia and 45/6 total = 1 and 7.5 (as in my post above)
This means we must kill 7.5 ppl to hit 1 mafia. (This is somewhere between 1:4 = 25% and 1:10 = 10%)
Now look up percentage calculation and you know you have to divide 1 by 7.5 which is 13,333...%

That makes a horrible percentage of 86,666...% to hit townies if we target random. This makes clear we MUST use clues to win.

EDIT: OK moneylover was faster... well he is more used to numbers due to his affliction of money I guess ;)




Oct 29 2007, 2:07 am Crimson Magnum Post #305

Shogun

I change my vote to CoB.



None.

Oct 29 2007, 2:12 am Laser Dude Post #306



We've got the wrong guys. NerdyTerdy is definately not Mafia, nor is DapperDan. I'm currently suspecting DTBK very strongly. I think voting CoB off is the best chance we have. We have the grim reaper evidance, and although it isn't as sturdy as other cases, the chances of him being Mafia are far higher than DapperDan or NerdyTerdy. However, if possible, I would like to lynch DTBK, because the chances of him being Mafia are far higher.

As such, I'm going to make a semi-complicated vote, and I'd like lots of other people to do something similar. I vote (immediately) for CoB. However, if it is possible to have a single lynch on DTBK, my vote would change to aid that cause.



None.

Oct 29 2007, 2:13 am dumbducky Post #307



I change my vote to DapperDan. But after this round, I go back to auto-voting Syphon. It's always Syphon.



tits

Oct 29 2007, 2:16 am Moose Post #308



----




Oct 29 2007, 2:17 am Laser Dude Post #309



Quote from Mini Moose 2707
Laser Dude :: NerdyTerdy (#4)
I changed it to CoB.



None.

Oct 29 2007, 2:18 am Ultraviolet Post #310



I change my vote to Cob, I've been convinced Dapperdan is not mafia, and the best we can really do is get rid of Cob, who doesn't have great evidence, but better than everyone else.




Oct 29 2007, 2:20 am Moose Post #311



Sorry, need to watch for counting twice there. :P

frazz :: NerdyTerdy -> Dapperdan
~:Deathawk:~ :: Dapperdan (#2)
FatalException :: Crimson Magnum -> Dapperdan (#3)
Doodan :: NerdyTerdy -> Dapperdan (#4)
ClansAreForGays :: Dapperdan (#5)
Doktor Shotgun :: Dapperdan (#6)
Merrell :: Dapperdan (#7)

Ejac :: NerdyTerdy
Cob :: NerdyTerdy (#2)
Nimitz :: NerdyTerdy (#3)
Heegu :: NerdyTerdy (#4)
Dapperdan :: frazz -> Cheeze -> NerdyTerdy (#5)
omginbd :: frazz -> Dapperdan -> Cob -> NerdyTerdy (#6)
Jello-Jigglers :: frazz -> Cob -> NerdyTerdy (#7)
Twitch :: frazz -> NerdyTerdy (#8)
cheeze :: Dapperdan -> NerdyTerdy (#9)

WoAHorde :: Cob
l)ark_ssj9kevin :: Cob (#2)
moneylover :: frazz -> Cob (#3)
Cnl.Fatso :: Cob (#4)
DT_Battlekruser :: NerdyTerdy -> Cob (#5)
MasterJohnny :: Cob (#6)
NudeRaider :: Cob (#7)
Crimson Magnum :: frazz -> Dapperdan -> Cob (#8)
Laser Dude :: NerdyTerdy -> Cob (#9)
NerdyTerdy :: frazz -> Cob (#10)
ToA :: Dapperdan -> Cob (#11)
dumbducky :: Syphon -> Dapperdan -> Cob (#12)

Chuiu :: frazz

Zycorax :: Yoshi da Sniper

EcHo :: EcHo

31 of 45 votes are in.

Post has been edited 3 time(s), last time on Oct 29 2007, 2:28 am by Mini Moose 2707.




Oct 29 2007, 2:23 am Money Post #312



.:.: VOTES :.
VOTER :: VOTED FOR


WoAHorde :: CoB
l)ark_ssj9kevin :: CoB (#2)
moneylover :: CoB (#3)
Cnl.Fatso. :: CoB (#4)
DT_Battlekruser :: CoB (#5)
MasterJohnny :: CoB (#6)
NudeRaider :: CoB (#7)
CrimsonMagnum :: CoB (#8)
Laser Dude :: CoB (#9)
NerdyTerdy :: CoB (#10)
ToA :: CoB (#11)
dumbducky :: CoB (#12)

Ejac :: NerdyTerdy
Cob :: NerdyTerdy (#2)
Nimitz :: NerdyTerdy (#3)
Heegu :: NerdyTerdy (#4)
Dapperdan :: NerdyTerdy (#5)
omginb :: NerdyTerdy (#6)
Jello-Jigglers :: NerdyTerdy (#7)
Twitch :: NerdyTerdy (#8)
cheeze :: NerdyTerdy (#9)

frazz :: Dapperdan
:Deathhawk:~ ::Dapperdan (#2)
FatalException :: Dapperdan (#3)
Doodan :: Dapperdan (#4)
ClansAreForGays :: Dapperdan (#5)
Doktor Shotgun :: Dapperdan (#6)
Merrell :: Dapperdan (#7)


chui. :: frazz

Zycorax :: Yoshi da Sniper

EcHo :: EcHo

31 of 45.


.:.: CLUES :.


Will be replaced when new clues appear.


Moose -
You missed masterjohnny voted for CoB.

And you have Laser Dude twice. :P -Moose

Post has been edited 4 time(s), last time on Oct 29 2007, 2:32 am by moneylover.



None.

Oct 29 2007, 2:25 am ToA Post #313

Que Sera, Sera.

/Changes vote to Cob




Oct 29 2007, 2:25 am dumbducky Post #314



I change my vote to CoB



tits

Oct 29 2007, 2:28 am Zycorax Post #315

Grand Moderator of the Games Forum

I just thought about this: May there be one clue for each mafia in this murder? Like everyone were involved?




Oct 29 2007, 2:35 am Cob Post #316



Hum, I think there's nothing more to do.

I can only say that clues last game were pointing at me because its a game of murder an killing.

@ Townies : killing townies is not the way to win. :lol:




None.

Oct 29 2007, 2:45 am Jello-Jigglers Post #317



I vote CoB



None.

Oct 29 2007, 2:47 am Cob Post #318



It's easy for Mafia to hide in bandwagon.

Edit : Is it possible to end Day now ? So you guys can move on ?




None.

Oct 29 2007, 2:50 am DT_Battlekruser Post #319



Don't let NerdyTedry off the hook..

I change my vote to NerdyTerdy.




None.

Oct 29 2007, 2:51 am NudeRaider Post #320

We can't explain the universe, just describe it; and we don't know whether our theories are true, we just know they're not wrong. >Harald Lesch

Hm, that DTBK thing doesnt sound like pure invention. I'm leaving my options open to maybe change my vote to him later.




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