I will now be explaining why I believed A of S T to be mafia. I am personally sorry about this mistake, and am retiring from mafia hunta. I will be using more clue analysis, but do expect my same farfetched tactics this game.
Okay so Day 1 we had to lynch a person. This came to be greo. A townie. Now what we had that day was two major bandwaggons. NerdyTerdy and Greo. Of which everyone voted:
Lynch 1
People voting greo are RED
People voting NerdyTerdy are Green
People voting other are BLUE
Greo :: payne
Vi3t-X :: Greo
TassadarZeratul :: NerdyTerdy
cheeze :: Greo
Oyen :: payne
stickynote :: NerdyTerdy
DT_Battlekruser :: NerdyTerdy
Zycorax :: NerdyTerdy
l)ark_ssj9kevin :: NerdyTerdy
NudeRaider :: NerdyTerdy
MadZombie :: Greo
Epoch :: Greo
Hug a Zergling :: Greo
NerdyTerdy :: |)ark_ssj9kevin
A_of-s_t :: Greo
Doodan :: NerdyTerdy
Darkling :: DT_Battlekruser
Shocko :: payne
Phobos :: NerdyTerdy
Deathman101 :: Greo
DrunkenNoodle :: Greo
Dark_Marine :: NerdyTerdy (9)
FlyingHat :: Greo
FatalException :: Greo
Echo :: Greo (11)
So after that and the nights killing we were left with.
Possibilities
2. deathman101
3. Darkling
4. Zycorax
5. EzDay281
7. EcHo
8. WoAHorde
9. FatalException
11. Brontobyte
12. lil-Inferno
13. Doodan
15. Vi3t-X
17. Paravin
18. TassadarZeratul
19. Oyen
20. NerdyTerdy
21. DT_Battlekruser
22. Dark_Marine
23. FlyingHat
24. DrunkenNoodle
25. A_of-s_t
26. Hitok1r1
27. MadZombie
28. l)ark_ssj9kevin
29. payne
30. NudeRaider
31. stickynote
32. Epoch
33. Hug a Zergling
So the next day's lynching I bandwaggoned against Payne and ultimately what formed was once again, two bandwaggons.
Lynch 2
People voting Myself are RED
People voting Payne are Green
People voting other are BLUE
WoAHorde :: Zycorax
FatalException :: FlyingHat
Shocko :: payne
l)ark_ssj9kevin :: payne
Paravin. :: payne
Doodan :: Shocko
Deathman101 :: payne
NerdyTerdy :: Doodan
Hitok1r1 :: Shocko
stickynote :: payne
NudeRaider :: payne
Darkling :: payne
Vi3t-X :: Doodan
lil-inferno :: payne
A_of-s_t :: Shocko
Dark_Marine :: Echo
Zycorax :: payne (9)
Hug A Zergling :: A_of-s_t
MadZombie :: NerdyTerdy
Echo :: Shocko
payne :: Shocko
TassadarZeratul :: Shocko (6)
DrunkenNoodle :: EzDay281
Now day one the mafia had it easy. Town was bandwaggoning against greo, who they knew to be townie, so they could do whatever they want, sit back relax and get a kick out of it.
However day two I spent turning people against payne. Now the tables were turned. They needed to save payne. However as we all know, joining a bandwaggon against your own teammate isn't always logical, though sometimes benefitial. So I seperated people into categories. Those who voted Randoms, Those who voted Payne, Those who voted Myself and Those who would chose to abstain and what you get is:
Shocko
Doodan :: Shocko
Hitok1r1 :: Shocko
A_of-s_t :: Shocko
Echo :: Shocko
payne :: Shocko
TassadarZeratul :: Shocko
Payne
Shocko :: payne
l)ark_ssj9kevin :: payne
Paravin. :: payne
Deathman101 :: payne
stickynote :: payne
NudeRaider :: payne
Darkling :: payne
lil-inferno :: payne
Zycorax :: payne
Random
WoAHorde :: Zycorax
FatalException :: FlyingHat
NerdyTerdy :: Doodan
Vi3t-X :: Doodan
Dark_Marine :: Echo
Hug A Zergling :: A_of-s_t
MadZombie :: NerdyTerdy
DrunkenNoodle :: EzDay281
Abstain
Epoch, DT_Battlekruser
~
Now I came down to 4 categories. Realistically I should have looked at all categories for consistancies. However when doing this sort of analyzing you have to make certain assumptions. I assumed that since I was a relatively large bandwaggon, Quite a few mafia would be attempting to try to kill me. So what we had was 6 candidates. However with Payne dead we now had 5.
Shocko 5/6
Doodan :: Shocko
Hitok1r1 :: Shocko
A_of-s_t :: Shocko
Echo :: Shocko
TassadarZeratul :: Shocko
I So now there were 5 Possible mafia's. The exact amount this game needed. However I was due to whatever reasons not convinced Doodan or Echo were mafia... so that lead me to narrow it down to:
Shocko 3/6
Hitok1r1 :: Shocko
A_of-s_t :: Shocko
TassadarZeratul :: Shocko
So now I decided to look into these 3 people. I noticed that Hitoriki hadn't voted at all, however A of S T had, and so had TassadarZeratul.
So this left me with a list of people I considered possible mafia, and in order to organize this list, I had to prioritize, who I had thought was mafia.
Mafia Suspects
Green = Low Suspicions
Yellow = A bit of Suspicion
Orange = Quite Suspicios
Red = Very Suspicious.
Doodan, FlyingHat, Hitoriki, NerdyTerdy, A_of_s-t, TassadarZeratul, WoAHorde, Paravin.
After doing this I took the two most suspicious people, A of S T and TassadarZeratul and then looked at who they were voting. A of S T and TassadarZeratul. Going by my table I decided to 'say' they were mafia. Now if they were working together but then voting on two people it would mean two mafia voting on two townies. This would lead me to believe that lynching NerdyTerdy if he was a townie would of resulted in FlyingHat automatically taking the spotlight. During the night however, he probably would of been left to live. Now this jumps everyone to two possible conclusions. He's a mafia and you were right the first time, lets auto bandwaggon against him... OR... new clues would of been brought up that pointed at someone else and you'd completely dismiss the clues towards him.
So yes, there wasn't particularly much evidence on my behalf, however most people who voted him either already believed he was mafia or had doubts in his town role.
Now I know I messed up here, by getting the broadcaster alive, but I am really stressing the importance here of clue analysis. The night will last a few days, this gives us time to build SOLID, CONCRETE evidence on our prime suspects, and possibly new suspects. However, let's not JUST look for current clues, let's look for things we EXPECT to happen; ASSUMING a person is mafia. For example we make a solid lead on NerdyTerdy and reoccuring characters, then we look for something that points to that again. But remember, every clue can point to multiple people. So instead of saying 'This person is best fitted for this clue' we should pull together and make a solid case.
I personally volunteer, as i'm sure Doodan and some others will to. To personally read over peoples clue interepretations and consolidate them. As well as this, I will keep a chart if everyone will like with a list of suspects, rated
green,
yellow,
orange. People will only become
red once we're almost certain of it.
However... remember, like I should of reminded you all before. What I am doing is NOT solid evidence. You take what I have as a refference, somewhere to start as you will...
Because someone is rated
Orange, it does not mean they are any more likely then someone that's green, necessarily. Unfortunately the mafia will get to vote on who is
green,
yellow and
orange. So be open to everyone being a suspect, but if you're town aligned, make RATIONAL decisions and not farfetched tactics.
For this system to work I suppose we should do this:
Everyone gets 3 points. You can up to three points on one person. You can subtract up to three of your points from one person also. To vote simply put.
For Example: Shocko :: A_of_s-t + 3
21 People
3 Votes
63 possible votes
This system will only work tonight, however if you want to continue it in the day we will have to make specifics so that moose doesn't get confused what's a real vote and what's a tally.
Green 1 - 9
Yellow 10 - 24
Orange 25 - 39
Red 40+
I will also keep this constantly updated in a collapse box. Sorry, best of luck to us all!! TOWN SHALL PREVAIL!
NOTE: DO NOT SAY TL;DR IF YOU DO NOT READ THIS ITS YOUR OWN FAULT. ANSWERS WERE ASKED FOR AND HERE THEY ARE. IF THIS IS NOT FOR YOU. GOOD LUCK TO YOU!
Post has been edited 4 time(s), last time on Dec 29 2008, 11:01 pm by Shocko.
None.